Brazil's Selic at 13.25% or lower on Dec 10?
Yes if 13.25% or lower
Is the Selic target in force on December 10, 2026, the day after the Copom meeting of December 8 and 9, 13.25% or lower?
The rule
Read the value series 432 gives for December 10, 2026, when a decision taken on the evening of December 9 is in force.
Settles on a published data series.
Source: Banco Central do Brasil, SGS series 432 (Selic target set by the Copom), daily values
What would move the Call
- The Copom cuts Dec 9 and the ONS queue of May 4-6, 2027 runs no deeper than 1.98 times: cheaper money brought the grid no more demand.
- The Copom cuts Dec 9 and the H.10 real for Dec 31 is weaker than 5.2222: lower rates bought a weaker currency instead of cheaper capital.
A test is listed when its specification is admitted and a divergence names two sides. The open markets →
Question, rule and source from the DeepStack engine, data as of Nov 10, 2026. Analysis and opinion, not investment advice.

