{
  "generatedAt": "2026-10-08T17:44:57Z",
  "disclaimer": "Analysis and opinion, not investment advice.",
  "kind": "company",
  "slug": "microsoft",
  "name": "Microsoft",
  "ticker": "MSFT",
  "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/companies/microsoft/",
  "api": "https://deepstack.ltd/api/v1/entities/companies/microsoft.json",
  "summary": "Microsoft appears in Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5, Part 6, Part 8, Part 10 of The Buildout. Part 2: SpaceX Is Funding an AI Bet Before the Proof; Part 3: The Machines Will Work. The Debt Might Not.; Part 4: AI Spending Has Met Its First Real Bill; Part 5: OpenAI and Anthropic Are Not the Same Business; Part 6: Power Doesn’t Depreciate. Its Premium Moves.; Part 8: AI Lenders Are Financing the End of Scarcity; Part 10: The Bubble Is in the Denominator.",
  "parts": [
    {
      "part": 2,
      "headline": "SpaceX Is Funding an AI Bet Before the Proof",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/spacex-after-the-ipo-exit-liquidity/"
    },
    {
      "part": 3,
      "headline": "The Machines Will Work. The Debt Might Not.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-debt-behind-the-machines/"
    },
    {
      "part": 4,
      "headline": "AI Spending Has Met Its First Real Bill",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-market-stops-paying-for-faith/"
    },
    {
      "part": 5,
      "headline": "OpenAI and Anthropic Are Not the Same Business",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/anthropic-grew-142-percent-openai/"
    },
    {
      "part": 6,
      "headline": "Power Doesn’t Depreciate. Its Premium Moves.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/power-doesnt-depreciate/"
    },
    {
      "part": 8,
      "headline": "AI Lenders Are Financing the End of Scarcity",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/"
    },
    {
      "part": 10,
      "headline": "The Bubble Is in the Denominator",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-bubble-is-in-the-denominator/"
    }
  ],
  "numbers": [],
  "mentions": [
    {
      "part": 2,
      "section": "The meter versus the map",
      "excerpt": "Musk guided 6 to 8 incremental gigawatts of data-center capacity for 2027, with upside reaching 15 gigawatts at what he called the PowerPoint level.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/spacex-after-the-ipo-exit-liquidity/"
    },
    {
      "part": 3,
      "section": "Demand has teeth",
      "excerpt": "AWS’s backlog stands at $496 billion, Microsoft’s commercial commitments at $678 billion and Google Cloud’s at $514 billion.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-debt-behind-the-machines/"
    },
    {
      "part": 4,
      "section": "Defense has a case",
      "excerpt": "Quanta 72 compares Cisco, EMC, Oracle and Sun with Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet and Amazon and points to the difference: the dot-com suppliers depended on customers who could stop buying, while today’s spenders fund the buildout from advertising, cloud, software and e-commerce.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-market-stops-paying-for-faith/"
    },
    {
      "part": 4,
      "section": "Arithmetic sets the test",
      "excerpt": "Prof G Markets tallied the immediate bill: Amazon, Google, Microsoft and Meta spent $165 billion on capital spending in three months, up 87 percent from a year earlier and 393 percent from three years earlier.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-market-stops-paying-for-faith/"
    },
    {
      "part": 4,
      "section": "The tape picks winners",
      "excerpt": "Microsoft posted 30 percent earnings growth while Meta’s earnings fell 13 percent.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-market-stops-paying-for-faith/"
    },
    {
      "part": 5,
      "section": "The pair breaks",
      "excerpt": "Microsoft booked $34.3bn of AI revenue last fiscal year, $24.1bn of it from OpenAI alone.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/anthropic-grew-142-percent-openai/"
    },
    {
      "part": 6,
      "section": "The megawatt premium",
      "excerpt": "Microsoft’s finance chief has described the company as short of space and power rather than chips.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/power-doesnt-depreciate/"
    },
    {
      "part": 6,
      "section": "The rent will move",
      "excerpt": "Nebius’s Vineland Phase 2, a 300-megawatt build for Microsoft, won approval after swapping gas turbines for Bloom fuel cells.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/power-doesnt-depreciate/"
    },
    {
      "part": 8,
      "section": "A shortage with a price",
      "excerpt": "Gaetano, an investor along the optical supply chain, points to Microsoft saying demand exceeds its capacity, Nvidia failing to make enough, and optical parts selling out as customers pull deliveries forward, sign multiyear agreements and sometimes pay in advance.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/"
    },
    {
      "part": 8,
      "section": "A shortage with a price",
      "excerpt": "Microsoft can absorb a wasted $20 billion in a way a telecom startup of 1999 could not, but can still decide the next $20 billion earns too little.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/"
    },
    {
      "part": 8,
      "section": "Cash, or a loop",
      "excerpt": "Microsoft’s operating cash flow topped $55 billion last quarter and Alphabet’s was about $39 billion.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/"
    },
    {
      "part": 10,
      "section": "The tests ahead",
      "excerpt": "Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta and Amazon will report third-quarter results.",
      "url": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-bubble-is-in-the-denominator/"
    }
  ],
  "sides": [
    {
      "part": 2,
      "question": null,
      "side": "exit-liquidity",
      "sideLabel": "Exit liquidity",
      "claim": "SpaceX deployed 0.4 gigawatts of nameplate compute in the last quarter while Musk promises more than 10 gigawatts by end-2027 and describes close to 15 gigawatts at the PowerPoint level.",
      "date": "2026-08-06",
      "url": "https://kakashiii111.substack.com/p/spacex-ai-revenue-cip-nvidia-gpus",
      "linkVerified": true,
      "storyUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/spacex-after-the-ipo-exit-liquidity/",
      "sidesUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/sides/spacex-after-the-ipo-exit-liquidity/"
    },
    {
      "part": 3,
      "question": null,
      "side": "borrowing-is-rational",
      "sideLabel": "The borrowing is rational",
      "claim": "Capacity is sold before it is built: AWS backlog reached 496 billion dollars, Microsoft closed June 2026 with 678 billion of commercial RPO up 84 percent year over year, Google Cloud's backlog hit 514 billion; CoreWeave's 2020-era A100s are fully…",
      "date": "2026-08-08",
      "url": "https://www.marketsentiment.co/p/is-the-capex-sustainable",
      "linkVerified": true,
      "storyUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-debt-behind-the-machines/",
      "sidesUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/sides/the-debt-behind-the-machines/"
    },
    {
      "part": 4,
      "question": null,
      "side": "crossing",
      "sideLabel": "Voices that cross sides",
      "claim": "The current hyperscaler capex boom, with Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft together spending close to $800 billion in 2026, requires external capital funding for the first time because capex now exceeds internal cash flow.",
      "date": "2026-08-27",
      "url": "https://fiscal.ai/fund-letters/hayden-capital-q2-2026-fscl_document_4UXZ6MTS260",
      "linkVerified": true,
      "storyUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-market-stops-paying-for-faith/",
      "sidesUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/sides/the-market-stops-paying-for-faith/"
    },
    {
      "part": 8,
      "question": "cash-or-loop",
      "side": "real-cash",
      "sideLabel": "Real cash, real use",
      "claim": "Current AI demand is highly visible: Microsoft says demand exceeds available capacity, NVIDIA is supply constrained, optical companies are sold out, customers are pulling deliveries forward, signing long-term agreements, and some are prepaying cash…",
      "date": "2026-09-07",
      "url": "https://gaetanoresearch.substack.com/p/fiber-optics-boom-bust-how-similar",
      "linkVerified": true,
      "storyUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/",
      "sidesUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/sides/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/"
    },
    {
      "part": 8,
      "question": "cash-or-loop",
      "side": "real-cash",
      "sideLabel": "Real cash, real use",
      "claim": "Today's biggest AI infrastructure spenders are large, highly profitable companies like Microsoft, Google, Amazon and Meta, with Microsoft generating more than $55 billion of operating cash flow in its latest quarter and Alphabet roughly $39…",
      "date": "2026-09-07",
      "url": "https://gaetanoresearch.substack.com/p/fiber-optics-boom-bust-how-similar",
      "linkVerified": true,
      "storyUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/",
      "sidesUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/sides/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/"
    },
    {
      "part": 8,
      "question": "what-lenders-hold",
      "side": "guarantees-not-faith",
      "sideLabel": "Guarantees, not faith",
      "claim": "Microsoft's raising of its buildings-and-improvements depreciation useful life ceiling from 15 to 25 years is likely a move of convenience that lets it keep tripled data center leases classified as operating rather than finance leases, since ASC…",
      "date": "2026-09-24",
      "url": "https://michaeljburry.substack.com/p/capital-cycle-iq-and-the-forensic",
      "linkVerified": true,
      "storyUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/",
      "sidesUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/sides/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/"
    },
    {
      "part": 8,
      "question": "what-lenders-hold",
      "side": "guarantees-not-faith",
      "sideLabel": "Guarantees, not faith",
      "claim": "Hyperscalers including Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta have spent over a trillion dollars in capital expenditure on GPUs, largely to capture revenue from OpenAI and Anthropic, which they themselves continue to fund, creating a closed loop where…",
      "date": "2026-09-09",
      "url": "https://realeismanplaybook.substack.com/p/inside-ais-fragile-ecosystem-with",
      "linkVerified": true,
      "storyUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/",
      "sidesUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/sides/the-scarcity-is-the-collateral/"
    },
    {
      "part": 10,
      "question": "what-does-5-percent-do",
      "side": "long-end-nobody-caps",
      "sideLabel": "A long end nobody caps",
      "claim": "Consensus expects hyperscalers' operating cash flow to more than triple by 2030, outpacing the sharp increase in AI-driven capex, based on FactSet and Apollo Chief Economist sources for Google, Meta, Amazon, Microsoft and Oracle.",
      "date": "2026-09-21",
      "url": "https://www.apollo.com/insights-news/insights/daily-spark/hyperscaler-credit-rests-on-one-consensus-assumption",
      "linkVerified": true,
      "storyUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/stories/the-bubble-is-in-the-denominator/",
      "sidesUrl": "https://deepstack.ltd/sides/the-bubble-is-in-the-denominator/"
    }
  ],
  "coverage": {
    "creators": 116,
    "claims": 811,
    "texts": 494,
    "asOf": "2026-10-08"
  },
  "lastUpdated": "2026-10-08",
  "market": {
    "price": 530.22,
    "change": 0.46,
    "changePercent": 0.0868,
    "marketCap": 3937175121000,
    "pe": 29.4561,
    "nextEarnings": "2026-10-28",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "currency": "USD",
    "asOf": "2026-10-08T14:30:52.000Z",
    "source": "Financial Modeling Prep",
    "sourceUrl": "https://financialmodelingprep.com",
    "note": "Delayed quotes."
  }
}