Chinese AI model within 3 months of U.S. best, Mar 2027?

Yes if the gap is 92 days or less

On March 31, 2027, does the highest-scoring model developed by a China-based organization on Epoch AI's Capabilities Index have a score that a model developed by a U.S.-based organization first reached no more than three months (92 days) before the Chinese model's release date?

The rule

On March 31, 2027, download Epoch's scores file from the ECI page (eci_scores.

Settles on the source the rule names.

Source: Epoch AI, Epoch Capabilities Index (ECI), public data under CC-BY, with model scores, organizations and release dates

What would move the Call

• A Public Law by Dec 31, 2026 binds private frontier developers beyond federal contractors: the brake exists; who wrote it?
• Epoch's index on Mar 31, 2027 has the best Chinese model 92 days or less behind the first US model to reach its score, chip rules unchanged.
• Language published for the Nov 28 deadline defines Super Intelligence by capability or compute: the name became a text.

A test is listed when its specification is admitted and a divergence names two sides. The open markets →

Question, rule and source from the DeepStack engine, data as of Nov 10, 2026. Analysis and opinion, not investment advice.