The record
Every result, with the reading, the source and what the desk expected. A result is never edited after the fact; a correction is a new revision, kept beside it.
Next close
Reading the exchange…
Step 1
The source publishes
SEC, FRED, BLS, TWSE… Only the first published reading counts; a later revision never changes a result.
Step 2
The Desk Editor signs
The reading is checked against the rule written before listing and signed as an instruction. A contest window follows: 6 hours for a reading by rule, 24 for one read by the desk.
Step 3
Payouts are credited
Each contract on the right side pays 100c, one StackCoin; a void pays 50c a side. The exchange writes it to your ledger when the window closes.
The desk's track record
214
questions resolved
127/214
on the right side
0.21
Brier score
39 Calls sat near even and count as neither. 17 resolved without a desk number. Every Call is written before the close and kept with its date; a corrected result keeps its revisions. As of Nov 10, 2026.
dot size = number of questions
| Desk number | Questions | Average number | Happened |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10–20% | 6 | 18% | 33.3% |
| 20–30% | 43 | 24.1% | 27.9% |
| 30–40% | 15 | 32.4% | 33.3% |
| 40–50% | 34 | 45.1% | 35.3% |
| 50–60% | 30 | 53.1% | 80% |
| 60–70% | 18 | 65.5% | 55.6% |
| 70–80% | 42 | 73.8% | 78.6% |
| 80–90% | 9 | 80.7% | 88.9% |
The reading, each threshold's outcome and what the desk forecast beforehand.
The reading
Vistra: long-term debt as a share of revenue: 352.90% at September 30, 2026 ($21.1B against $6.0B), against a threshold of 410.00%.
Source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, EDGAR
Desk forecast 71% missed
Desk forecast 53% · near even
Desk forecast 32%
Signed by DeepStack · Nov 9, 2026 · the daily resolution, by delegation of the owner since 30 October 2026
The reading
Vistra capital spending as a share of revenue: 12.4% in the quarter to Sept. 30, 2026; the threshold was 14%.
Source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, EDGAR
Signed by DeepStack · Nov 9, 2026 · the daily resolution, by delegation of the owner since 30 October 2026
The reading
Vistra: long-term debt as a share of revenue: 352.90% at September 30, 2026 ($21.1B against $6.0B), against a threshold of 500.00%.
Source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, EDGAR
Desk forecast 22%
Signed by DeepStack · Nov 9, 2026 · the daily resolution, by delegation of the owner since 30 October 2026
The reading
Vistra: long-term debt as a share of revenue: 352.90% at September 30, 2026 ($21.1B against $6.0B), against a threshold of 425.00%.
Source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, EDGAR
Desk forecast 65% missed
Desk forecast 43%
Desk forecast 21%
Signed by DeepStack · Nov 9, 2026 · the daily resolution, by delegation of the owner since 30 October 2026
The reading
Vistra capital spending as a share of revenue: 12.4% in the quarter to Sept. 30, 2026; the threshold was 16.5%.
Source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, EDGAR
Desk forecast 45%
Desk forecast 22%
Signed by DeepStack · Nov 9, 2026 · the daily resolution, by delegation of the owner since 30 October 2026
The reading
ServiceNow, Atlassian, Datadog, Palantir and Cloudflare revenue, change from a year earlier: +36.1%, $10.2B against $7.5B a year earlier.
Source: U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, EDGAR
Signed by DeepStack · Nov 6, 2026 · the daily resolution, by delegation of the owner since 30 October 2026
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Results, rules and the Call from the DeepStack engine, data as of Nov 10, 2026. Analysis and opinion, not investment advice.