guest
Explore · AI.SEC

AI Security, Trust & Governance

The spend on protecting, identifying and governing AI systems and their users.

The pulse · chance the Call's side wins
0100 7366
WhoPulseQuestions
the Call7313
the machines6613
the readers—from 5

mean chance that the Call's side wins over the sector's open questions with a side (p when the Call expects yes, 100 - p when no); shown from two questions; the crowd counts a question from 5 readers

Theses

Open questions

18 · 3 theses
Security & governance · settles Nov 1826 days
Will Palo Alto Networks turn 42 percent or more of its revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending October 31 2026?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

CrowdStrike falls short of the ARR mark

No if the operating cash margin slips below 42.0 percent, for example from higher spending or slower collections.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes if cash collections stay strong and costs are controlled, keeping the operating cash margin at or above 42.0 percent.

Security & governance · settles Nov 2432 days
Will Zscaler turn 28 percent or more of its revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending October 31 2026?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

CrowdStrike falls short of the ARR mark

No if the operating cash margin falls below 28.0 percent, for example due to higher spending or slower collections.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes if Zscaler keeps strong cash collections and expense discipline, holding the operating cash margin at or above 28.0 percent.

Security & governance · settles Nov 2432 days
Will Zscaler turn 31 percent or more of its revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending October 31 2026?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

CrowdStrike falls short of the ARR mark

No if the operating cash margin falls below 31.0 percent, for example due to higher spending or slower collections.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes if Zscaler keeps strong cash collections and expense discipline, holding the operating cash margin at or above 31.0 percent.

Security & governance · settles Nov 2432 days
Will Zscaler turn 34 percent or more of its revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending October 31 2026?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

CrowdStrike falls short of the ARR mark

No if the operating cash margin falls below 34.0 percent, for example due to higher spending or slower collections.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes if Zscaler keeps strong cash collections and expense discipline, holding the operating cash margin at or above 34.0 percent.

Security & governance · settles Oct 285 days
Will Fortinet turn 33 percent or more of its revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending September 30 2026?
4 people · 4 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Security spend tracks overall IT, no outsized surge

No if the operating cash margin falls below 33.0 percent, for example due to higher spending or slower collections.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes if Fortinet keeps strong cash collections and expense discipline, holding the operating cash margin at or above 33.0 percent.

Security & governance · settles Oct 285 days
Will Fortinet turn 39 percent or more of its revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending September 30 2026?
4 people · 4 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Security spend tracks overall IT, no outsized surge

No if the operating cash margin falls below 39.0 percent, for example due to higher spending or slower collections.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes if Fortinet keeps strong cash collections and expense discipline, holding the operating cash margin at or above 39.0 percent.

Security & governance · settles Oct 285 days
Will Fortinet turn 45 percent or more of its revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending September 30 2026?
4 people · 4 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Security spend tracks overall IT, no outsized surge

No if the operating cash margin falls below 45.0 percent, for example due to higher spending or slower collections.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes if Fortinet keeps strong cash collections and expense discipline, holding the operating cash margin at or above 45.0 percent.

Security & governance · settles Nov 1826 days
Will Palo Alto Networks turn 36 percent or more of its revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending October 31 2026?
4 people · 4 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Security spend tracks overall IT, no outsized surge

No if the operating cash margin slips below 36.0 percent, for example from higher spending or slower collections.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes if cash collections stay strong and costs are controlled, keeping the operating cash margin at or above 36.0 percent.

Security & governance · settles Nov 1826 days
Will Palo Alto Networks turn 39.5 percent or more of revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending October 31, 2026?
4 people · 4 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Security spend tracks overall IT, no outsized surge

No, the ratio slips below 39.5 percent on timing of collections or a cost swing.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes, cash conversion holds near its recent 39.8 percent pace or improves on subscription mix.

Security & governance · settles Nov 1826 days
Will Palo Alto Networks turn 43.0 percent or more of revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending October 31, 2026?
4 people · 4 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Security spend tracks overall IT, no outsized surge

No, the ratio stays below 43.0 percent since recent quarters have run closer to 40 percent.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes, cash conversion jumps well above its recent 39.8 percent pace on stronger collections or billings.

Security & governance · settles Dec 139 days
Will Okta turn 27.0 percent or more of revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending October 31, 2026?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Vendors do not name AI-agent governance as a revenue driver

No, the ratio dips below 27.0 percent on weaker collections or higher costs.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes, cash conversion stays near its recent 29.1 percent pace as subscription billings hold up.

Security & governance · settles Dec 139 days
Will Okta turn 29.5 percent or more of revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending October 31, 2026?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Vendors do not name AI-agent governance as a revenue driver

No, the ratio falls just short of 29.5 percent as it has in most recent quarters.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes, cash conversion matches or tops its recent 29.1 percent pace on steady billings.

Security & governance · settles Dec 139 days
Will Okta turn 32.0 percent or more of revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending October 31, 2026?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Vendors do not name AI-agent governance as a revenue driver

No, the ratio stays below 32.0 percent since recent quarters have run near 29 percent.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes, cash conversion climbs well above its recent 29.1 percent pace on stronger collections.

Security & governance · settles Nov 513 days
Will Cloudflare turn 15.0 percent or more of revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending September 30, 2026?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Vendors do not name AI-agent governance as a revenue driver

No, the ratio dips below 15.0 percent on heavier spending or weaker collections.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes, cash conversion stays near its recent 16.9 percent pace as scale lifts margins.

Security & governance · settles Nov 513 days
Will Cloudflare turn 17.5 percent or more of revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending September 30, 2026?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Vendors do not name AI-agent governance as a revenue driver

No, the ratio falls short of 17.5 percent as recent quarters have run a bit lower.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes, cash conversion matches or tops its recent 16.9 percent pace as scale lifts margins.

Security & governance · settles Nov 513 days
Will Cloudflare turn 20.0 percent or more of revenue into operating cash in the quarter ending September 30, 2026?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Vendors do not name AI-agent governance as a revenue driver

No, the ratio stays below 20.0 percent since recent quarters have run closer to 17 percent.

If yes

AI expands the attack surface and the security budget

Yes, cash conversion jumps well above its recent 16.9 percent pace on stronger collections.