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Networking · Thesis 71 · settles Dec 2 · 40 days · rung 1/3

Was Credo's operating cash flow at least 15.0 percent of its revenue last quarter?

How it settles

Yes if net cash from operating activities divided by revenue, as reported by Credo for the quarter ended October 31, 2026 on SEC EDGAR, is fifteen point zero percent or higher. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of Credo (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the net cash from operating activities of Credo for the quarter ended October 31, 2026 come to at or above 15.0% of its revenue?

Divide the net cash from operating activities by the revenue that Credo reports for the quarter ended October 31, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 15.0%; no if it is below 15.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If Credo has not filed by December 17, 2026, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Co-packaged optics reshapes the supply chain and compresses Arista's margin

Yes if Credo's cash generation stayed healthy, keeping operating cash flow at or above 15.0 percent of revenue.

If yes

Arista's gross margin holds at or above 60% through 2027

No if Credo's cash generation collapsed, with operating cash flow falling below 15.0 percent of revenue.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 3 people · 2 minutes
Co-packaged optics reshapes the supply chain and compresses Arista's margin1 people argue noArista's gross margin holds at or above 60% through 20272 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 1 people

Co-packaged optics reshapes the supply chain and compresses Arista's margin

Daniel RomeroFeb 26

Network vendors like Arista commanded premium prices through elite engineering required to route ultra-fast electrical signals across motherboards without signal degradation. CPO deletes this engineering problem by moving optics on-package. When…

Stronger if yes · 2 people

Arista's gross margin holds at or above 60% through 2027

GaetanoMar 24

Moving from 112G to 224G electrical SerDes creates severe power and thermal constraints. Vesta 200 co-packages optics directly with switch ASIC, shortening electrical path and improving signal integrity. Nitro Redriver boosts electrical signal to…

What would change the Call
  • Credo's 10-Q filing for the quarter ended October 31, 2026 showing the actual operating cash flow and revenue figures would settle this.
The Call · Thesis 71

The house has not taken a side.

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will Arista Networks' GAAP gross margin fall below 60% in any quarter reported before 2027-12-31?

CPO deletes the board-level signal-integrity engineering that justified branded switch premiums, pushing hyperscalers to whitebox/ODM sourcing and compressing incumbent network vendor margins.