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Power & grid · Thesis 74 · settles Nov 9 · 17 days · rung 3/3

Will Constellation Energy's property and equipment purchases hit 27 percent of its revenue in Q3 2026?

How it settles

Divide purchases of property and equipment by revenue for Constellation Energy's quarter ended September 30 2026, from its 10-Q or 10-K on SEC EDGAR. Yes if the ratio is 27.0 percent or higher, no if below. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of Constellation Energy (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the purchases of property and equipment of Constellation Energy for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 come to at or above 27.0% of its revenue?

Divide the purchases of property and equipment by the revenue that Constellation Energy reports for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 27.0%; no if it is below 27.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If Constellation Energy has not filed by November 16, 2026, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Gas is the bridge fuel for AI load

Yes: capex rises above last quarter's 21.3 percent of revenue on continued power buildout spending.

If yes

Hyperscalers favor non-gas firm supply

No: spending stays below 27 percent, in range with the 21.3 percent reading from last quarter.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 3 people · 2 minutes
Gas is the bridge fuel for AI load2 people argue noHyperscalers favor non-gas firm supply1 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 2 people

Gas is the bridge fuel for AI load

DeepValue CapitalAug 14

AI infrastructure requires significant electricity, which is increasingly powered by natural gas as backup and baseload generation. Major financial institutions and tech companies are financing AI buildout, creating structural demand for natural gas.

Stronger if yes · 1 people

Hyperscalers favor non-gas firm supply

Michael SpykerNov 20

Because official forecasts have understated how much domestic gas demand (especially from data centers) would grow, LNG developers planned export capacity assuming ample surplus gas would remain available; as AI-driven demand materializes…

What would change the Call
  • A jump or drop in reported capital spending or in quarterly revenue in the 10-Q would move this number.
The Call · Thesis 74 · Hyperscalers favor non-gas firm supply

The house leans to "Hyperscalers favor non-gas firm supply".

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will at least three major tech firms announce a new natural gas generation arrangement of 300 MW or more for US data centers between 2026-11-15 and 2027-12-31?

Hyperscalers themselves turn to dedicated gas generation at scale for near-term AI capacity, confirming gas as the practical bridge fuel despite stated clean-energy targets.