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Data centers · Thesis 81 · settles Nov 3 · 11 days · rung 1/3

Will Eaton's long-term debt be at least 200% of quarterly revenue at the end of Q3 2026?

How it settles

Yes if Eaton's long-term debt divided by its revenue, both as reported for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K on SEC EDGAR, is at or above 200.0 percent; no if below. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of Eaton (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the long-term debt of Eaton at the end of the quarter ended September 30, 2026 come to at or above 200.0% of its revenue for the quarter?

Divide the long-term debt that Eaton reports at the end of the quarter ended September 30, 2026 by the revenue it reports for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 200.0%; no if it is below 200.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If Eaton has not filed by November 16, 2026, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Powered shells stay unleased past mid-2027

No: revenue growth or debt paydown pulls the ratio back below 200%, as seen a year earlier at 141%.

If yes

Energized land and powered shells earn rent

Yes: debt stays elevated near recent 217% levels as borrowing outpaces quarterly revenue growth.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 3 people · 2 minutes
Powered shells stay unleased past mid-20271 people argue noEnergized land and powered shells earn rent2 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 1 people

Powered shells stay unleased past mid-2027

JunkBondInvestorJul 6

Because the lease says nothing about whether the shell survives the technology cycle, two facilities look identical on a screen; the inflexible one has few alternative uses and its only natural buyer wants precisely what it already is, so value can…

Stronger if yes · 2 people

Energized land and powered shells earn rent

Daniel RomeroAug 1

Romero's data-center holdings follow the same model: turn secured power into long-term contracted cash flow with tenants covering operating expenses, finance construction at project level (Hut 8's second major project was financed at better terms…

What would change the Call
  • A jump in revenue or a debt paydown in the quarter would pull the ratio below 200 percent and flip the call.
The Call · Thesis 81 · Powered shells stay unleased past mid-2027

The house leans to "Powered shells stay unleased past mid-2027".

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will at least one of Galaxy Digital's Helios 830 MW approved expansion or Hut 8's Beacon Point capacity be announced as contracted under a long-term lease with a named tenant by 2027-06-30?

Approved, interconnected but unleased megawatts at energized-land owners convert into signed long-term leases, confirming that power position translates into contracted rent.