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Apps & agents · Thesis 93 · settles Dec 2 · 40 days · rung 1/3

Will C3.ai's operating cash flow for Q3 2026 be at least negative 1.0% of its revenue?

How it settles

Yes if net cash from operating activities divided by revenue, as reported by C3.ai for the quarter ended October 31 2026 on SEC EDGAR, is negative 1.0 percent or higher. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of C3.ai (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the net cash from operating activities of C3.ai for the quarter ended October 31, 2026 come to at or above -1.0% of its revenue?

Divide the net cash from operating activities by the revenue that C3.ai reports for the quarter ended October 31, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above -1.0%; no if it is below -1.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If C3.ai has not filed by December 17, 2026, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Agents displace seat-based SaaS

Expects cash burn from operations to stay mild, holding the ratio at or above negative 1.0%, continuing the improvement seen in the last print of 4.0%.

If yes

Systems of record stay insulated, subscription growth holds above 8%

Expects heavier cash burn from operations, pushing the ratio below negative 1.0%, similar to the deep negative print of negative 47.7% a year earlier.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 7 people · 2 minutes
Agents displace seat-based SaaS4 people argue noSystems of record stay insulated, subscription growth holds above 8%3 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 4 people

Agents displace seat-based SaaS

Ruben DominguezJun 16

For years SaaS companies benefited from customer headcount growth almost automatically, because per-seat pricing tied software costs directly to workforce expansion. When AI agents can produce output equivalent to several employees, that pricing…

Stronger if yes · 3 people

Systems of record stay insulated, subscription growth holds above 8%

Michael BurryMay 28

Because confidence and liability are placed in the application and its backing human experts, an unaffiliated AI agent cannot absorb that liability, so the 88% assisted portion of the tax TAM is not won on software quality alone.

What would change the Call
  • The net cash from operating activities and revenue figures C3.ai reports for Q3 2026 in its SEC filing would decide this.
The Call · Thesis 93

The house has not taken a side.

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will at least two of the five largest seat-priced software vendors report subscription revenue growth below 8% for two straight quarters before 2027-12-31?

AI agents compress seat counts and per-seat price enough that headline subscription growth at major seat-priced vendors decelerates below 8% for two straight quarters.