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Data centers · Thesis 126 · settles Nov 3 · 11 days · rung 1/3

Will Modine's operating cash flow reach 3 percent or more of its quarterly revenue by September 30, 2026?

How it settles

Yes if Modine's net cash from operating activities divided by its revenue for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, in its SEC EDGAR 10-Q or 10-K, is 3.0 percent or more; no if below. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of Modine (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the net cash from operating activities of Modine for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 come to at or above 3.0% of its revenue?

Divide the net cash from operating activities by the revenue that Modine reports for the quarter ended September 30, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 3.0%; no if it is below 3.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If Modine has not filed by November 16, 2026, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Idle capacity gets disclosed

Yes if Modine keeps converting sales to cash at a rate near the 4.7 percent seen last quarter.

If yes

Energization keeps pace, no disclosure

No if working capital swings or lower margins push the cash conversion ratio below 3 percent.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 4 people · 2 minutes
Idle capacity gets disclosed2 people argue noEnergization keeps pace, no disclosure2 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 2 people

Idle capacity gets disclosed

Michael BurryAug 21

As small local models improve in efficiency and capability faster than data center hardware depreciation schedules assume, an increasing share of inference workload migrates away from centralized data centers, undermining the revenue assumptions…

Stronger if yes · 2 people

Energization keeps pace, no disclosure

CoreWeave disclosed an A100 contract running into 2029 on architecture from 2020. If hardware generations recontracts rather than being written off, and if this behaviour generalizes, then payback maths for neocloud fleets improve and the…

What would change the Call
  • A large change in receivables, inventory, or payables in the 10-Q cash flow statement would move the ratio.
The Call · Thesis 126 · Energization keeps pace, no disclosure

The house leans to "Energization keeps pace, no disclosure".

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will a major AI data center operator publicly disclose, by 2027-12-31, that installed AI compute capacity of 100 MW or more is idle or revenue-deferred because of power interconnection or energization delays?

Grid interconnection timelines run far longer than hardware deployment cycles, leaving purchased accelerators dark and aging before they can earn revenue.