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Models & labs · Thesis 132 · settles Nov 18 · 26 days · rung 1/3

Will Palo Alto Networks's gross profit be at least 67 percent of its revenue for the quarter ended October 31, 2026?

How it settles

Yes if gross profit divided by revenue in Palo Alto Networks's 10-Q or 10-K for the quarter ended October 31, 2026, on SEC EDGAR, is at or above 67.0 percent; no if below. SEC EDGAR, XBRL company facts of Palo Alto Networks (Forms 10-Q and 10-K)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the gross profit of Palo Alto Networks for the quarter ended October 31, 2026 come to at or above 67.0% of its revenue?

Divide the gross profit by the revenue that Palo Alto Networks reports for the quarter ended October 31, 2026 in its 10-Q or 10-K filing on SEC EDGAR. The answer is yes if the ratio is at or above 67.0%; no if it is below 67.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If Palo Alto Networks has not filed by December 17, 2026, or a filing restates a period the rule reads, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing.

If no

Margins stay below the floor

No: expects margin to dip below 67 percent, continuing the year-over-year slide from 73.2 percent.

If yes

Pricing power holds above cost

Yes: expects margin to hold near 67 percent or better, close to the 67.6 percent reading last quarter.

50%
NoYes

No position, no money. The crowd, the Call and the machines appear after you lock your number.

The case · 6 people · 2 minutes
Margins stay below the floor5 people argue noPricing power holds above cost1 people argue yes
Stronger if no · 5 people

Margins stay below the floor

Steve EismanJul 24

If competitors can deliver comparable AI capabilities at much lower cost, the market for AI services becomes price-competitive rather than feature-competitive. This makes the previous spending spree on capability development appear wasteful because…

Stronger if yes · 1 people

Pricing power holds above cost

Miqdad JafferSep 11

In SaaS, marginal costs approach zero once the product is built, so overpaying for acquisition was acceptable because unit economics improved at scale. In AI, every query has a price tag that often gets worse as the company grows. A free tier that…

What would change the Call
  • The gross profit and revenue figures Palo Alto Networks reports for this quarter in its SEC filing would move the call.
The Call · Thesis 132 · Margins stay below the floor

The house leans to "Margins stay below the floor".

The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will a major foundation model provider publicly disclose model/inference gross margin above 60% in a filing or audited disclosure before 2027-12-31?

Despite price competition, some argue frontier providers retain pricing power above serving cost; others expect commoditization, and the question is whether a provider discloses inference gross margin above 60% before 2027-12-31.