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Explore · AI.DC

Data Centers & Physical Infrastructure

The buildings, land, racks, cooling and in-building electrical gear.

The pulse · chance the Call's side wins
0100 7160
WhoPulseQuestions
the Call7124
the machines6024
the readers—from 5

mean chance that the Call's side wins over the sector's open questions with a side (p when the Call expects yes, 100 - p when no); shown from two questions; the crowd counts a question from 5 readers

Theses

Open questions

30 · 6 theses
Data centers · settles Oct 285 days
Will Equinix's long-term debt grow at least 8 percent in the quarter ended September 30, 2026 versus a year earlier?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Powered shells stay unleased past mid-2027

Expects powered shells to stay unleased into 2027 as tenants hesitate, slowing new debt-funded expansion below 8 percent growth.

If yes

Energized land and powered shells earn rent

Expects energized data center sites to get leased fast at premium rates, needing debt-funded buildout at or above 8 percent growth.

Data centers · settles Oct 285 days
Will Equinix's long-term debt grow at least 12 percent in the quarter ended September 30, 2026 versus a year earlier?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Powered shells stay unleased past mid-2027

Expects powered shells to stay unleased into 2027 as tenants hesitate, slowing new debt-funded expansion below 12 percent growth.

If yes

Energized land and powered shells earn rent

Expects energized data center sites to get leased fast at premium rates, needing debt-funded buildout at or above 12 percent growth.

Data centers · settles Oct 285 days
Will Equinix's long-term debt grow at least 16 percent in the quarter ended September 30, 2026 versus a year earlier?
3 people · 3 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Powered shells stay unleased past mid-2027

Expects powered shells to stay unleased into 2027 as tenants hesitate, slowing new debt-funded expansion below 16 percent growth.

If yes

Energized land and powered shells earn rent

Expects energized data center sites to get leased fast at premium rates, needing debt-funded buildout at or above 16 percent growth.

Data centers · settles Oct 285 days
Will Vertiv's property and equipment purchases hit 6.6% of its revenue in the quarter ending September 2026?
4 people · 4 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Surface revenue growth falls short of 30%

No: capex stays disciplined relative to sales, keeping the spending ratio below 6.6%, closer to recent quarters.

If yes

Energized land and powered shells earn rent

Yes: capex ramps on strong order demand, pushing equipment spending to 6.6% or more of revenue, above the prior quarter's 5.3%.

Data centers · settles Oct 285 days
Will Vertiv spend at least 4 cents of every sales dollar on new equipment next quarter?
5 people · 5 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Obsolete GPU hardware gets stranded

No expects aging GPU hardware to become obsolete faster than expected, cutting into planned equipment purchases.

If yes

GPU fleets keep recontracting, no stranding

Yes expects data centers to keep recontracting older GPU hardware rather than stranding it, supporting steady capital spending.

Data centers · settles Oct 285 days
Will Vertiv spend at least 5.2 cents of every sales dollar on new equipment next quarter?
5 people · 5 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Obsolete GPU hardware gets stranded

No expects aging GPU hardware to become obsolete faster than expected, cutting into planned equipment purchases.

If yes

GPU fleets keep recontracting, no stranding

Yes expects data centers to keep recontracting older GPU hardware rather than stranding it, supporting steady capital spending.

Data centers · settles Oct 285 days
Will Vertiv's equipment spending hit 6.5 percent of its revenue for the quarter ending September 2026?
5 people · 5 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

Obsolete GPU hardware gets stranded

Expects capital spending to stay lighter relative to sales, similar to recent quarters, keeping the ratio below 6.5 percent.

If yes

GPU fleets keep recontracting, no stranding

Expects capital spending to climb as Vertiv invests to keep pace with demand, pushing the ratio to 6.5 percent or above.

Data centers · settles Nov 311 days
Will Super Micro Computer's long-term debt reach 30 percent of its quarterly revenue by September 2026?
5 people · 5 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

GPU fleets keep recontracting, no stranding

Expects debt to stay heavy relative to sales, continuing the elevated load seen last quarter, keeping the ratio at or above 30 percent.

If yes

Obsolete GPU hardware gets stranded

Expects revenue growth or debt paydown to bring the ratio below 30 percent, a sharp drop from the prior quarter's level.

Data centers · settles Nov 311 days
Will Super Micro's long-term debt hit 55 percent or more of its quarterly revenue by September 30, 2026?
5 people · 5 claims2 sides2 machines
If no

GPU fleets keep recontracting, no stranding

Yes if debt grows much faster than revenue, pushing the ratio well above the 36.5 percent seen last quarter.

If yes

Obsolete GPU hardware gets stranded

No if revenue keeps pace with or outgrows debt, keeping the ratio under 55 percent as recent quarters show.