Data centers · Thesis 81 · settles Jan 11 · 76 days · rung 3/3

Taiwan AI hardware revenue growth in December?

revenue growthVs. the same period a year earlier.

3 voices · 3 claims2 sides2 machines

The other numbers are hidden until you lock yours. The readers, the machines and the Call are waiting.

The two sides

If no

Powered shells stay unleased past mid-2027

Expects growth to fall short of 56 percent as orders normalize or shift timing.

If yes

Energized land and powered shells earn rent

Expects strong AI server shipments to push the year over year combined gain past 56 percent.

How it settles

Yes if the combined December 2026 revenue of the eight named TWSE firms is at least 56.0 percent higher than their combined December 2025 revenue, per the TWSE monthly revenue table. Taiwan Stock Exchange OpenAPI, monthly revenue of listed companies (t187ap05_L)

The exact question and the full rule

Did the combined revenue of TSMC, Hon Hai, Quanta Computer, Wistron, Wiwynn, Accton, Delta Electronics and Asia Vital Components for December 2026 grow at or above 56.0% from December 2025?

Add the revenue for December 2026 of TSMC (2330), Hon Hai (2317), Quanta Computer (2382), Wistron (3231), Wiwynn (6669), Accton (2345), Delta Electronics (2308) and Asia Vital Components (3017) in the Taiwan Stock Exchange's monthly revenue table, and compare the combined revenue with the same companies' combined revenue for December 2025 in the same table. The answer is yes if growth is at or above 56.0%; no if it is below 56.0%.

If the source is late or silent: If the table does not carry December 2026 for every company by January 25, 2027, the test is inconclusive, and the Result says what was read and what was missing; a later correction of the month does not change the reading.

The case · 3 voices · 2 minutes
Powered shells stay unleased past mid-20271 voice argues noEnergized land and powered shells earn rent2 voices argue yes
Stronger if no · 1 voice

Powered shells stay unleased past mid-2027

JunkBondInvestorJul 6

Because the lease says nothing about whether the shell survives the technology cycle, two facilities look identical on a screen; the inflexible one has few alternative uses and its only natural buyer wants precisely what it already is, so value can…

Stronger if yes · 2 voices

Energized land and powered shells earn rent

Daniel RomeroAug 1

Romero's data-center holdings follow the same model: turn secured power into long-term contracted cash flow with tenants covering operating expenses, finance construction at project level (Hut 8's second major project was financed at better terms…

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The dossier · 5 minutes
The machines' reasons

2 models ran this one. Their numbers and reasons appear after you lock yours.

The thesis

Will Galaxy or Hut 8 lease their new capacity by mid-2027?

Approved, interconnected but unleased megawatts at energized-land owners convert into signed long-term leases, confirming that power position translates into contracted rent.